Trump vs. Obama: Who Would Win a Hypothetical Third Term?

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Courtesy: AFP via Getty Images

Trump’s Interest in a Third Term

President Donald Trump has openly expressed interest in running for a third term, despite the 22nd Amendment barring anyone from serving more than two terms. In recent weeks, Trump floated the idea of running in 2028, prompting speculation about a hypothetical rematch between him and former President Barack Obama.

When asked about this possibility, Trump responded enthusiastically: “I’d love that. Boy, I’d love that.” However, a new poll suggests he may not fare well against Obama.

Poll Results: Obama Leads Trump

A recent Overton Insights poll conducted on April 2 surveyed 1,100 registered voters. The results showed 53% would vote for Obama, while 47% would support Trump. This hypothetical scenario would require a constitutional amendment, making such a contest highly unlikely.

The Constitutional Barrier

The 22nd Amendment states that no person can be elected president more than twice. Changing this amendment would require approval from two-thirds of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of state legislatures—a formidable challenge.

Despite this, Trump and his allies have hinted at potential ways around the restriction. Trump recently told NBC, “There are methods by which you could do it.” His personal attorney, Boris Epshteyn, reportedly claimed to have studied legal pathways for a third term.

Political Reactions and Speculation

Reactions to Trump’s remarks have been mixed. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt downplayed the idea, emphasizing that Trump’s focus remains on his current term. Some Congressional Republicans believe he was joking, while others, like Rep. Andy Ogles, have even proposed revising the 22nd Amendment to allow Trump another run.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, however, warned against dismissing Trump’s comments. “The idea of a third term? Why not? They don’t believe in the rule of law,” he told CBS News, suggesting Trump’s ambitions should be taken seriously.

Conclusion

While Trump’s musings about a third term have sparked debate, the constitutional hurdles make such a scenario improbable. Nevertheless, political allies and opponents alike continue to weigh the implications of his statements, keeping the conversation alive in Washington.

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