June 29 7 a.m.
Tropical Depression 2 is gaining steam in the southwestern Gulf today, and become the 2nd name storm of the season later today. The limiting factor in any potential development is simply time, as T.D. 2 will be moving northwest in to Mexico by tonight or early tomorrow, and will immediately weaken upon landfall.
Regardless of whether or not this storm becomes Tropical Storm Barry, our local impacts are the same, just an increase in moisture leading to about a 60% chance of showers and storms.
Starting tonight we’ll be monitoring a batch of Saharan Dust moving into Southeast Texas, which could stick around through at least midweek.
June 28 4 p.m.
Potential Storm Two has developed in the Bay of Campeche and will likely become the next named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Barry. This tropical system will continue to slowly track northwest over the weekend and is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm Sunday. This will be a short-lived system though as Potential Storm Two will move ashore over Mexico late Sunday night or early Monday morning, potentially making landfall as a weak tropical storm with 40 mph winds. Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for parts of the Mexico coast.
June 28
A disturbance in the Bay of Campeche and southwestern Gulf now has a 50% chance of development over the next 2 days. The core of the moisture from this potential system will push west in to Mexico, which means the budding storm only has today and tomorrow to develop before it will weaken over land. Regardless of whether or not this becomes a named system, the greatest impacts will miss us well to the south. We will see an uptick in moisture spreading in to Southeast Texas on Sunday, which will bring our rain chances up to 60% to close out the weekend.
As we move into the work week a plume of Saharan Dust will settle into Southeast Texas, creating hazy skies Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. The dust can also be a lung irritant, so people with asthma or allergies may want to limit time outside.
June 27
Monitoring an area of showers and storms in the northwest Caribbean for potential tropical development. Formation odds are currently 20 percent over the next 7 days as the system moves into the Bay of Campeche.
A plume of Saharan dust is expected to move into the Gulf Coast early next week.
June 26
The Atlantic is quiet once again with no tropical development expected over the next 7 days. That’s partly because of a large Saharan dust cloud that will blow into southeast Texas by Monday. Meanwhile, in the Eastern Pacific another storm is threatening to form south of Mexico over the next couple of days.
June 25
Tropical Storm Andrea has dissipated over the middle Atlantic. No other tropical development is expected over the next 7 days.
In the eastern Pacific, conditions are favorable for tropical development southwest of Central America. This storm may further develop into a tropical depression or storm as it tracks northwestward this week.
June 24 9 a.m.
Tropical Storm Andrea has formed in the middle of the Atlantic ocean and brings no threat to land. Andrea should be short lived become a post-tropical remnant low by Wednesday morning.
June 24
Tropical moisture brings an increase in rain chances to southeast Texas this week, no tropical development is expected.
A small area of thunderstorms east of Bermuda has become better organized and is likely to become a short-lived tropical storm later today before the system encounters an unfavorable environment. The system would get the name Andrea.
June 23
As deeper tropical moisture brings increasing rain chances to southeast Texas this week, no tropical development is expected. There is an area that the NHC is monitoring for a high risk for development. A cluster of showers and thunderstorms have formed east of Bermuda. Formation odds around 70% during the next 48 hours. If this system strengthens to a tropical storm, it would get the name Andrea.
In the eastern Pacific, conditions are favorable for tropical development south of Mexico this week.
June 22
Rain chances will climb in Southeast Texas this week as Gulf moisture moves in, but the tropics remain quiet. No tropical development is expected over the next 7 days anywhere in the Atlantic Basin, and it looks increasingly likely we will close out June without any named storms.
June 21
You may notice a bit of a hazy sky today thanks to some Saharan dust that has blown into Southeast Texas. While the dust can be an irritant for those with asthma or allergies, it’s also been helping to keep tropical development at bay. So far there have been zero named storms in the Atlantic, and none are expected over the next 7 days.
This story comes from our news partner ABC13 Houston.
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