Summer 2025 Forecast: A Hot Season Ahead

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Meteorologists warn that summer is just around the corner—and it’s shaping up to be a scorcher. June 1 marks the beginning of meteorological summer, the start of the three hottest months of the year, even though the calendar officially says spring until June 20.

Hotter-Than-Normal Temperatures Expected Nationwide

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center and other private forecasters predict above-normal temperatures across the U.S. Johnna Infanti, a NOAA meteorologist, said model guidance is “overwhelmingly above normal across the U.S. and most of Alaska.” No region is expected to see cooler-than-average weather. This heat will impact cooling bills, increase wildfire risk, and raise the danger of heat-related illnesses and deaths.

Where Will It Be Hottest?

Expect particularly high temperatures in the West, Southwest, Florida, and New England.

Rainfall and Drought Outlook

A hotter and drier pattern is forecast for much of the country, according to DTN meteorologist John Baranick. The Northwest, Northern Rockies, and Great Plains are likely to see below-normal precipitation, with drought persisting or expanding. The East Coast and Southwest may see wetter-than-normal conditions, offering some drought relief in the East later in June.

Wildfire Risks This Summer

The National Interagency Coordination Center forecasts a higher risk of significant wildfires in several areas. In June, that risk is highest in the coastal Southeast, central Texas, the Four Corners, and parts of California and the Pacific Northwest. By July and August, the fire risk shifts to Hawaii, the Southern Plains, and areas of the Great Basin, California, and the Northwest.

Smoke from Canada Could Impact U.S. Air Quality

Canadian wildfires could bring smoke to the northwestern and north-central U.S. throughout the summer, exacerbating health concerns related to poor air quality, warned AccuWeather meteorologist Paul Pastelok.