HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — If you like record warm air in November, then you’re going to love how it feels the rest of the week. For everyone else, we have cooler air in the forecast right around Thanksgiving, and while we await the cool down, there are some opportunities for rain. That said, the rain chances in our part of Texas are not looking as promising as they once did based on the latest trajectory of the upper-level storm.
Wednesday will look and feel a lot like Tuesday, but one noticeable difference is the potential for more widespread dense fog that could slow you down on the morning commute. Temperatures will start off in the upper 60s, some 15-20 degrees warmer than average. Temperatures will again climb into the mid 80s and challenge record highs. With the moisture streaming in, there is a 20% chance you get a rain shower.
When should we expect rain with this week’s next storm system?
We are lowering expectations for rain on Thursday and Friday now that the track of the upper-level storm is shifting north and away from our part of Texas. This will push our rain chance on Thursday down to 20% and delay the arrival of the storm line to Friday. But by the time it arrives, the main storm system will be falling apart, so Friday’s rain chance remains at just 40%. The front coming in with this system is also looking weaker, stalling out over Southeast Texas this weekend.
What does the weekend look like then?
This weekend’s forecast is a tricky one to pin down at the moment since the front will stall out somewhere in Southeast Texas. One thing we’re confident of is the cooling will be minimal with lows still in the 60s and highs still around 80. For now we have a 30% chance of rain in the forecast both days this weekend. The higher rain odds should remain south of I-10 on Saturday, then as the front lifts north and moisture surges in Sunday, everyone has equal chances of getting a scattered shower.
Will it be cooler for Thanksgiving?
At this time we think so! Another storm system will track across the southern Plains Monday and Tuesday, and this one should flip the pattern to a cooler northerly flow for multiple days. At this time we expect temps to be near seasonal averages around Thanksgiving, which is highs in the upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s. There’s also a chance of showers and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday that could go higher when the stronger cold front pushes in.
What is happening in the tropics?
Tropical development is not expected in the Atlantic Basin over the next 7 days. The last day of hurricane season is November 30th. For a thorough update and in-depth video on what’s happening in the tropics, head to our tropical update page.
13 ALERT RADAR MAPS:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County
Galveston County
Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties
Brazoria/Matagorda Counties
This story comes from our news partner ABC13 Houston.
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