HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — It’s back-to-school week for so many kids across southeast Texas.
But Mother Nature could put a damper on those morning back-to-school pictures and after-school activities.
Temperatures on Monday morning will start in the mid-upper 70s as showers and storms move onshore. Scattered showers and storms are likely for the first day back to school for Galveston ISD on Monday, with storms continuing throughout the day along the coast. A few of those storms could migrate farther north by mid-morning to the I-10 corridor, with rain possible in Houston by lunchtime. And after an active morning, there could be a lull in the action in the afternoon before another round of isolated showers and storms develops in the early evening. Besides that, Monday will be another warm, summery day with high temperatures climbing into the mid-90s.
How does the weather look for those going back to school this week?
We’ll see multiple rounds of showers and storms develop this week. A 40% chance of storms on Monday, with some of that rain coming in the morning hours and mainly along the coast. Tuesday’s storm chance increases to 60% as a disturbance moves in from the eastern Gulf. Beyond that, it’s looking like typical August weather! It will be hot with highs near averages in the mid-90s, and every afternoon there’s a 30 to 40% chance for showers and thunderstorms. These storms could impact afternoon recesses and after-school activities.
Any potential extreme heat on the way?
Not necessarily, though high temperatures could be back close to the triple digits next weekend and the following week, and even though it might not be as hot as it was in August of 2023, don’t forget the afternoon heat index can make it feel like the triple digits every day.
With this rainy pattern, how are we doing in terms of rainfall or drought conditions?
Drought conditions? None for us here in Southeast Texas! One thing to note about our daily downpours, though, is that they haven’t been equal in bringing rain to everyone. There are a few spots that are about 5 inches behind in rainfall that’s needed to saturate the soil, so if a hotter and drier pattern were to settle in over the next few weeks, then we might start to see more drought conditions locally. Also, we know the daily downpours have not reached everyone equally, so some lawns might be looking a little worse than others right now.
What’s happening in the tropics?
All eyes are on a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic that has a high chance of development and will likely be the next hurricane in the Atlantic Basin. For a thorough update and in-depth video on what’s happening in the tropics, head to our tropical update page.
This story comes from our news partner ABC13 Houston.

