Rain chances climb this week, strong to severe storms possible Tuesday

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HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — After a picture-perfect weekend, rain chances climb this week with the potential for strong to severe storms multiple days this week. Tuesday is an ABC13 Weather Watch Day with the potential for severe storms across Southeast Texas.

Along with the risk of severe weather, flooding will be possible especially for some of our northern counties. A Flood Watch in effect Tuesday for parts of southeast Texas, including the following counties: Brazos, Grimes, Houston, Madison, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity and Walker.

Clouds will build on Monday as temperatures climb into the low 80s. One big difference for Monday though is increasing humidity, which will allow for a few showers and storms to develop in the afternoon and evening. Best chance for rain Monday will be west of I-45, but we can’t rule out a shower or storms getting close to the Beltway or Houston Monday during the evening commute.

What’s on the horizon for this week?

After a gorgeous weekend of calm weather conditions, rain chances return as early as Monday afternoon with even more rain in the coming days. An upper-level low will spin up showers and thunderstorms to Southeast Texas for Tuesday and Wednesday, some of which could be strong to severe. Rain chances for each day are 60 to 80% at this time, meaning there’s a good chance you’ll get some rain either or both days. Then that low lingers over the Southeast Thursday and Friday, so we cant completely rule out a few showers each day.

How about the ABC13 Weather Watch Day for Tuesday?

Tuesday is an ABC13 Weather Watch Day because of the potential for strong to severe storms. Almost all of Southeast Texas is included in a Slight Risk for storms from the Storm Prediction Center Tuesday. A warm front will lift through Southeast Texas Tuesday afternoon, paving the way for storms that could produce hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes. Street and area flooding isn’t out of the question either as rainfall rates could be around 1 to 3 inches an hour within some of the largest storms.

How much rain are we talking?

Depends on the intensity of the showers and storms and how many roll through your neighborhood. But on average most of Southeast Texas will pick up around 1 to 3 inches of rain this week. Some areas could see more though, which is why there’s a localized flood concern. Flash flooding could be a localized threat when the heavy rain falls Tuesday and Wednesday.

And any early indications for Mother’s Day weekend?

Thankfully it looks like that upper-level low will finally pull away from the region by next weekend, leaving behind a calmer weekend of weather, potentially similar to that of this weekend. There is a 20% chance for a stray shower Saturday. Mother’s Day Sunday is dry at this time. Both days will be partly cloudy with a mild morning and warm afternoon.

This story comes from our news partner ABC13 Houston.

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