Rain chances are back but don’t really blossom until this weekend

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HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — It definitely feels like spring has sprung, and we’ll eventually get some decent shower and thunderstorm chances in the soupy air late this week.

This morning we’re waking up to a cloudy sky with dense sea fog along the coast. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 8 a.m. for portions of Harris, Galveston and Chambers County near Galveston Bay, where an area of thick sea fog could move a little farther inland this morning. There is a total lunar eclipse happening Tuesday morning, which should be visible at times between the clouds on the western horizon. The “blood moon” phase of the eclipse in Houston begins around 5 a.m. and ends around 6 a.m.

After a muggy morning with temperatures in the mid 60s, we’ll get plenty of sunshine to break through the clouds during primary election day. Temperatures will warm into the mid 80s, about 15 degrees above normal for this time of year.

Tell me more about this stormy pattern for the week.

Over the next 7 to 10 days, Southeast Texas will be on the southern side of an active jet stream pattern that will usher in several storm systems across the country. This all begins Wednesday, where the Storm Prediction Center is highlighting north-central Texas with a slight risk for severe weather. While the main threat for severe weather and the most widespread storms is farther north across the state Wednesday through Friday, an approaching front could stall and bring scattered showers and storms our way each day. Right now we have a 30% chance for showers and storms in Southeast Texas Wednesday, and a 10-20% chance on Thursday and Friday. Saturday a separate, stronger storm system will move across the Midwest with its trailing cold front pushing into Texas over the weekend. This front should stall out over the Hill Country and bring a higher chance for thunderstorms in Southeast Texas from Saturday evening through the day Sunday. It’s still too early to pinpoint any severe risks for Houston this weekend, but it’s something we’re monitoring at this time.

But we need the rain. How much could we pick up this week?

At this time we expect most to pick up an inch or less, but locally higher amounts are possible with the potential for some street flooding where the heavier storms track. The highest totals in the state are expect closer to where the front stalls, which would favor the Hill Country and North Texas.

Are we expecting any more frosty mornings this winter season?

Not at this time. While we can’t 100% rule out another run at frosty weather later in March or even April, odds favor those who want to start tending to their garden beds. Some long-range computer model guidance points to brief cool down the week of Spring Break with temperatures dropping into the 40s or 50s.

13 ALERT RADAR MAPS:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County
Galveston County
Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties
Brazoria/Matagorda Counties

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This story comes from our news partner ABC13 Houston.

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