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Rain chances climb this week with storms possible on Halloween

HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — This well above normal stretch of warm weather will take us all the way through the end of the month, but there is hope for some rain before October is over.

It’ll be a warm and muggy Monday for SE Texas. Temperatures will climb to near 90 degrees once again. There is also the chance for an isolated shower southwest counties near Matagorda Bay during the afternoon and evening. By Tuesday the chance for a hit or miss shower spread to the rest of Southeast Texas.

When will rain chances return?

Rain chances gradually climb this week and humidity levels increase with stronger onshore flow expected to roll in from the Gulf. There’s a 10% chance for a spot shower Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday the combination of deep tropical moisture from over the Gulf plus an approaching front could lead to a few more showers developing throughout the day Wednesday. The best chance though for rain this week is on Halloween with scattered showers and even storms possible Thursday evening.

Speaking of Halloween, will the weather be a trick or a treat?

That depends on your perspective! We desperately need some rain, and rain chances are back on the final day of October. It will almost certainly be a warm, humid Halloween with a 60% chance for showers and thunderstorms. Low temperatures will start off in the low 70s, then warm into the mid 80s during the afternoon. It is too early to say with any certainty if there will be rain around at Trick-or-Treat time, so stay tuned as we gain more clarity on the timing of the rain.

What are you tracking in the tropics?

There is now a region in the southwestern Caribbean that has 40% development odds over the next 7 days. While we’ll be keeping a close eye on this region for any storms, the general pattern over Texas and the Gulf should steer any potential storms away from us over the next two weeks. Head to our daily Tropical Update page for a complete look at what we’re covering in the tropics.