Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s ability to strike a deal with U.S. President Donald Trump has positioned her as a diplomatic force in navigating trade disputes.
Analysts suggest her approach could serve as a model for other world leaders facing similar economic pressures from Washington.
The agreement, which resulted in a pause on blanket tariffs against Mexico, came after tense negotiations. Sheinbaum stood firm on trade, drug enforcement, and migration policies while steering clear of direct confrontation with Trump. Ultimately, Mexico pledged to deploy 10,000 troops to its border to combat human and drug smuggling, particularly fentanyl trafficking.
The February 3 call between the two leaders followed escalating tensions, with the White House accusing Mexican drug organizations of government ties—an allegation Sheinbaum dismissed as unfounded. While Canada prepared retaliatory tariffs, Sheinbaum opted for diplomacy, delaying countermeasures until she had the chance to negotiate.
Her strategy appeared to earn Trump’s respect, as he later praised her leadership. Canada soon reached a similar arrangement, agreeing to appoint a fentanyl czar, allocate $140 million to organized crime intelligence, and classify Mexican cartels as terrorist organizations.
Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings—currently at 75%—reflect public support for her handling of trade negotiations. However, another round of discussions looms on March 4 when the tariff pause expires. Business leaders in Mexico remain confident in her ability to maintain stability.
Meanwhile, fentanyl trafficking remains a contentious issue. While Trump has vowed aggressive action against cartels, experts note that most fentanyl smuggling is carried out by U.S. citizens using concealed transport methods. Mexico is expected to ramp up its crackdown on organized crime in response to ongoing U.S. pressure.
Speculation continues over Trump’s past remarks about military action against cartels. While he previously hinted at potential strikes on Mexican soil, it remains unclear whether such plans are still under consideration.
As Sheinbaum prepares for future negotiations, her diplomatic balancing act underscores Mexico’s efforts to safeguard its economic and security interests while maintaining a working relationship with the U.S.
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